Last updated December 10, 2024
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 28 | 12 | 71.8% | 1 | 34.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 25 | 12 | 64.1% | 2 | 31.4 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 23 | 12 | 59.0% | 3 | 29.2 | 3 |
| 4 | Matt Hogel | 20 | 12 | 51.3% | 4 | 26.6 | 5 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 20 | 12 | 51.3% | 4 | 26.9 | 4 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 19 | 12 | 48.7% | 6 | 24.7 | 6 |
| 7 | Mike Thorne | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 23.7 | 7 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 18 | 12 | 46.2% | 7 | 22.8 | 8 |
| 9 | Gavin Gray | 16 | 12 | 41.0% | 9 | 22.2 | 9 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 15 | 12 | 38.5% | 10 | 21.4 | 10 |
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 12.7 | DET | 0.45 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 11.7 | PHI | 0.33 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 9.7 | GB | 0.39 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 11.7 | SEA | 0.61 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 9.8 | IND | 0.64 |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 9.9 | MIA | 0.61 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 11 | 13.0 | CHI | 0.73 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 10.8 | NYG | 0.89 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.4 | MIN | 0.27 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 10.4 | NO | 0.75 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 8.4 | LV | 0.66 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 8.1 | LA | 0.59 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 14.3 | CLE | 0.64 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 8.3 | DEN | 0.36 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 4.0 | ATL | 0.34 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 13.8 | PIT | 0.67 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 7.9 | HOU | 0.39 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 3.0 | BAL | 0.11 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 12 | 14.5 | BUF | 0.55 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 4.6 | NYJ | 0.38 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 4.6 | CIN | 0.34 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 10.4 | TB | 0.61 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 6.3 | CAR | 0.46 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 6.1 | WAS | 0.25 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 9.0 | SF | 0.41 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 8.3 | NE | 0.70 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 4.9 | JAX | 0.62 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 9.7 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 7.1 | TEN | 0.66 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 4.6 | KC | 0.36 |
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3 |
| Houston Texans | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 8 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 11 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 12 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 2 | 12 | -6 | 13 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Washington Commanders | 8 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 13 | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 12 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 15 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 5 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 8 | -5 | 12 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 14 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 19 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 3 |